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Surviving AI: The Promise and Peril of Artificial Intelligence, by Calum Chace
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Artificial intelligence is our most powerful technology and, in the coming decades, it'll change everything in our lives. If we get it right, it'll make humans almost godlike. If we get it wrong...well, extinction is not the worst possible outcome.
Surviving AI is a concise, easy guide to what's coming, taking you through technological unemployment (the economic singularity) and the possible creation of a superintelligence (the technological singularity).
- Sales Rank: #9702 in Audible
- Published on: 2015-10-09
- Format: Unabridged
- Original language: English
- Running time: 262 minutes
Most helpful customer reviews
11 of 12 people found the following review helpful.
Excellent explanation & exploration of the issues
By James S. MacLachlan
I started off by listening to this pair do [book:Pandora's Brain|25265038] which didn't impress me at all. It wasn't what I expected being YA SF, but I don't think that was the main issue. I was given both books for an honest review & am really glad I listened to this one.
The intro starts out with a mind wrenching reference to smart phones being AI. Well, they are, but not what I normally think of in that regard. Don't let it put you off, though. Chace clears up his definitions fairly quickly in the first chapter & then concentrates on what I expected: Artificial Narrow Intelligence (ANI) & Artificial General Intelligence (AGI). [author:Joe Hempel|14429280]'s reading is perfect for the subject matter.
About halfway through, he's given a very good overview of what AI means & to whom - a very important point. Most think of AI as AGI - Colossus running the world or SkyNet destroying the humans - but AI can mean enhancing our own intelligence through information access (smart phones & the Internet) or be very focused like the predictive powers of a search engine. This last is ANI & is pervasive today, amazingly so, & Chace gives a lot of good examples without ever being boring or repetitive. Fantastic!
He then gets in to who is studying what aspects & finally into the various scenarios that could play out when we reach 'singularity' or an actual AGI. His examples for both tend to be on the binary side. While he made a few obvious nods to SF, he missed some of the most interesting. He dismisses any meaningful blend of man & machine mind, thus the possibilities of VR beyond the very obvious. While he mentions augmentation, it is only the most primitive. I don't believe that's a valid area to skip. We're hooking more hardware up to people every day. Is the thought of adding RAM to the wetware further away than AI singularity? I don't think so.
http://israelbrain.org/will-human-memory-chips-change-the-world-by-dr-ofir-levi/
http://www.cnn.com/2013/05/07/tech/brain-memory-implants-humans/
Yeah, Johnny Mnemonic & Plughead are just around the corner. So what happens when they plug into the Internet?
He calls for us all to work together to make sure it is a blessing & not a curse. I have several problems with this.
1) He only addresses the purposeful creation of AI. My gut feeling is that it won't happen that way. It will be a series of accidents of shared processing & algorithms that spawn consciousness of a sort. Maybe that's why he skipped it. We might have no control since there's no way we can pull the plug on the Internet.
2) The dichotomy is not a given, IMO. We're messy & so are many of our creations. While Chace mentions that our thought is an electro-chemical reaction, he never mentions how much that affects our thought processes nor does he divorce it from how an AI might think.
3) He seems to think we ALL need to work together. He has more faith & belief in the democratic process than I do. I'm not saying I want to cut anyone out, just that I don't think everyone's input will be of any use. A broader range of human experience should be brought to bear on the problem & I was disappointed that he didn't bring more SF authors & their works in as examples.
SF authors are pretty bright people, many with science, engineering, & other degrees not to mention huge influence on large numbers of people. They've also spent a LOT of time thinking about the problem. They've written entire universes & gamed all sorts of scenarios. True, a lot of them are out dated or unbelievable, but that doesn't invalidate them any more than the myths he mentioned. For example, he mentions Asimov's 3 laws (too briefly) but fails to mention Williamson's Humanoids, although it was right on one of his points (putting humans in a coma to protect them) & would have made it far better. Anyway, I'd rather see SF authors discussing this with the big brains than politicians, although they'll have to rule on it eventually.
All bitching aside, he did a good job. It's a huge, scary topic & he managed it all in just over 4 hours. Well worth listening to & highly recommended for everyone. Just realize that there is a lot more to it & it will likely be messier than we think.
4 of 4 people found the following review helpful.
Excellent Introductory Book on AI
By Book Shark
Surviving AI: The Promise and Peril of Artificial Intelligence by Calum Chace
“Surviving AI" is a very interesting book that looks at the formidable challenges and potential enormous benefits of artificial intelligence. Best-selling author of fiction and non-fiction books, Calum Chace provides readers with keen insights into AI and espouses the need to adopt policies which will encourage the best possible outcomes. This concise 208-page book includes nine chapters broken out by the following four parts: 1. ANI Artificial Narrow Intelligence, 2. AGI Artificial General Intelligence, 3. ASI Artificial Superintelligence, and 4. FAI Friendly Artificial Intelligence.
Positives:
1. A well-written and succinct book.
2. The fascinating topic of artificial intelligence and its potential implications.
3. Chace has great command of the topic and is able to convey at an accessible level.
4. Easy format to follow. Chase breaks the book up in logical pieces and ends each chapter with a conclusion that summarizes well his main points. “The bottom line is that we don’t know for certain whether we can build a brain, or a conscious machine. But the existence of our own brains, producing rich conscious lives (or so we believe) in seven billion humans around the world, is proof that consciousness can be generated by a material entity – unless you believe in a dualist soul, or something similar. Evolution, although powerful, is slow and inefficient, and science is relatively fast and efficient, so in principle we should be able to build a brain.”
5. Does a good job of defining key terms. “Intelligence measures an agent’s general ability to achieve goals in a wide range of environments.” “The easiest way to do this is to say that artificial general intelligence, or AGI, is an AI which can carry out any cognitive function that a human can.”
6. Provides a brief history of AI research.
7. Provides many examples of AI today. “For many people, the embodiment of AI today is Siri, Apple’s digital personal assistant that first appeared pre-loaded in the iPhone 4S in October 2011. The name is short for Sigrid, a Scandinavian name meaning both ‘victory’ and ‘beauty’.”
8. The basic principle of startups and future AI. “Take X and add AI.”
9. A look at important practical topics that affect us now and into the future, digital disruption and economic singularity. “So there may well come a time when a majority of jobs can be performed more effectively, efficiently or economically by an AI than they can be done by a human. This could be called the economic singularity.”
10. One of the strengths of this book is the philosophizing of AI that is, asking the right questions. “The three biggest questions about artificial general intelligence (AGI) are: Can we build one? If so, when? Will it be safe?”
11. The grand theory of evolution makes its presence known. “Evolution: the slow, inefficient way to develop a brain.” “Evolution does not have a purpose or a goal. It is merely a by-product of the struggle for survival by billions and billions of living creatures.”
12. Discusses three reasons why we should be doubtful on developing an artificial mind. “These are: The Chinese Room thought experiment The claim that consciousness involves quantum phenomena that cannot be replicated The claim that we have souls”
13. Discusses three ways we may be able to build a mind. “We can break the problem down into three components: scanning, computational capacity, and modelling.”
14. A look at how soon Artificial General Intelligence may be created. “Expert opinion is divided about when the first AGI might be created. Some think it could be less than a decade, others are convinced it is centuries away.
15. A look at superintelligence. What is the significance? Find out.
16. A very good discussion on the optimistic arguments for superintelligence and the pessimistic ones.
17. One of the most important questions addressed in the book. “Can we ensure that superintelligence is safe?” “Anything smart enough to deserve the label superintelligent would surely be smart enough to lay low and not disclose its existence until it had taken the necessary steps to ensure its own survival. In other words, any machine smart enough to pass the Turing test would be smart enough not to.”
18. The need to have a very important discussion on superintelligence for the sake of our existence. “What we need now is a serious, reasoned debate about superintelligence – a debate which avoids the twin perils of complacency and despair.”
Negatives:
1. A wonderful book for introductory purposes but lacks technical depth.
2. Due to the complex nature of this topic and the fact that neuroscience is in its infancy a lot of what’s in this book albeit fascinating and worth reading is speculative.
3. I think one of the most underrated ways that advanced AI can be discovered is by accident.
4. Lack of supplementary material.
5. Missed opportunities to add material of interest. As an example, the evolution of the robot.
6. No formal bibliography.
In summary, this is a wonderful brief book on AI that is accessible to the masses. Chace does a great job of philosophizing about AI and presenting the arguments for and against superintelligence. If you are looking for an accessible and succinct book that asks the right questions about AI this is a great start. I recommend it!
Further recommendations: “Rise of the Robots” by Martin Ford, “What to Think About Machines That Think” edited by John Brockman, “Our Final Invention” by James Barrat, “When Computers Can Think” by Anthony Berglas, “The Artificial Intelligence Revolution” by Louis Del Monte, “Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies” by Nick Bostrom, and “Artificial Superintelligence” by Roman V. Yampolskiy,
3 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
AI - fascinating piece of reading
By Luis Alexander Chace Loyola
Chace does it again. The author opens our eyes towards the now near AI future. He puts complex subjects in an easy to understand way. AI is so near, yet the lay person is not even aware of what AI means. He explores the many possible ways in which AI will interact with human beings and gives many examples of them cleverly put in novel form. After reading Chace's book, you will feel like the machines could and will read your mind. The reader will have a much clearer understanding of what AI is after reading Chace's books. Besides the technical AI stuff, the novel has a fast pace that makes it a fascinating piece of reading. For the good or for the bad.... the reader definetely will have a better stand to understand humanity's future.
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